Auburn, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

718
FXUS64 KBMX 091615
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1115 AM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Thursday)
Issued at 932 AM CDT WED JUL 9 2025

High pressure will move through the Gulf, with an upper level low
pressure system and trough moving through the Ohio Valley. The
state is placed between the two systems with west to southwesterly
flow prevailing through the short term. This flow will advect
plenty of moisture to the area with PW values near max for this
time of year. Instabilities will average between 2000 and 3000
j/kg with higher amounts possible in the western half of the area
this afternoon. Diurnal convection is expected today and tomorrow
with strong storms possible. The wind profile is just strong
enough for storm movement, with severe storms not anticipated at
this time. With the moisture available, any storm will produce
high rain rates, with a localized flooding concern in any areas
that received rainfall yesterday and/or have training cells that
build over the same areas.

24

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 932 AM CDT WED JUL 9 2025

Friday through Tuesday, high pressure builds over the southeastern
US. Through Friday, diurnal convection is expected with nearly
the same parameters as the short term. Moisture should be higher
in the southern half of the state, with coverage higher in these
areas. For the weekend, an upper level ridge moves across the
area. Though southwest to westerly flow will continue to advect
moisture, diurnal activity may have less coverage. Right now,
there isn`t enough to indicate severe potential, so will mention
isolated to scattered convection each afternoon. By Monday, flow
will transition to a northerly direction as the center of the high
is closer to the state. This will bring winds that are slightly
lower in speed with less moisture advection. Diurnal activity will
still be possible, though the coverage will continue to be
isolated.

24

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1115 AM CDT WED JUL 9 2025

Diurnal activity is expected today across the state. Confidence is
low on timing and coverage, so left a PROB30 in each site`s TAF for
now. Activity should move slowly, with LIFR conditions over any TAF
site. Low level moisture is high through tomorrow, with fog
potential at a few sites for a few hours in the early morning.
Scattered diurnal activity is expected at the end of the TAF period
on Thursday afternoon.

NOTE: AMD LTD TO CLD VIS AND WIND has been added at MGM until
further notice due to comms issues.

24

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

A moist summertime air mass will be in place through the
foreseeable future with elevated rain chances through at least
Friday. 20 foot winds should remain less than 8 mph from the west
and southwest.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     92  70  89  70 /  50  30  80  30
Anniston    90  71  87  71 /  50  30  80  30
Birmingham  91  72  89  71 /  50  30  80  30
Tuscaloosa  90  73  89  72 /  50  30  80  30
Calera      90  72  88  71 /  50  30  70  30
Auburn      90  72  88  72 /  40  30  60  30
Montgomery  93  73  92  72 /  40  30  70  30
Troy        93  71  91  71 /  40  30  60  30

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....24
AVIATION...24